Which is Harder: To Know the Past or To Predict the Future

Miscellaneous Idea and Concept. Something to think about, not relating to any particular topic, event or person. I would like to begin this quarter review of thoughts on both the past and the future. First it appears to be easier to predict the future than to guesstimate the past. For instance predicting the future seems to be much easier than that of the work of archeologists trying to piece together what happened based on clues and forensics. And to this point I wish to bring to point a few recent works. One is the work done by Stephen Wolfram where he shows how simple programs develop extremely complex results. If we study the concept of the Greek Gods and their roles, we may find that the world as we know it started from extreme simplicity.

Perhaps several programs which have been running and interacting for 5.5 billion years. Now without getting to far out and therefore such comments being dismissed by those of extreme religious convictions of any sect. This comment would not in fact preclude the idea of a god or delete the idea of the Greeks theories and beliefs in multiple gods, but rather open up dialogue past that of absolutes we see in major religions and literal interpretations of those writings. Let us take the simplicity of life at the most basic levels of RNA, DNA, Proteins, etc. The easiest way to study something is from the beginning, thus if we are wondering how the complexity of life (species and niches) actually came about here on this planet it might be easiest to know such an answer by creating life.


Now this could be artificial life, add on artificial intelligence interacting with human life or other intelligent species of the planet


It would be smart to figure out more ways to interact with our intelligent species on Earth to communicate. Such as we have done with Chimpanzees through sign language or with Dolphins. But what is most interesting is in our “Politically Correct World” we have not been honest enough with our own human kind and perhaps the notion of working towards a closer world of mankind ought to be figured into the idea. If we create life and watch it evolve we can then understand these theories better of how we describe the past better. Studying and predicting the future is much easier than studying and forensically outlining the past or past events. Surely one can get close looking backwards, but not as close as one who has studied the future based on the current or present, understanding the current perception of the past into the equation. In this regard I would like to point out Isaac Asimov and his trilogy as an example of some of what we are working on today. Also the lifetime journals of Nicola Tesla and his ideas of the automaton, ELF work and other predictions of the future seem to have predicted quite closely our current future.

I like to think that I myself studying different technologies can find clues to the future based on current observations along with those newest innovations and their potential uses. Also if you look at Arthur C Clark and all his ideas, it seems that much of those are now becoming reality all of which seem to be combinations of all past innovations and thoughts. Many of these predictions in the form of fictional work have come true. Geosynchronous Satellite communication (Iridium), cold fusion, modern Alchemy, etc., he once said: “To predict the future we need logic, but we also need faith and imagination, which can sometimes defy logic itself.” Arthur C. Clarke. Nicola Tesla had nearly as much written predictions as Galileo, Einstein, Copernicus, Da Vinci, Newton, etc. And today we have some incredible people in our era watching, inventing, innovating, creating and inventing. Some of these living intellectuals have made some enormous predictions, which if and when they come true will be a wonderful accomplishment for mankind.

As a matter of fact predicting the future with a little knowledge and observation is relatively easy. Having studied the great explorers of the past and famous archeologists like Charles Leaky, it is interesting how much we have learned, but how little there is available in the way of clues. Charles Darwin had lots to say also and many times what we see today along with what we are somewhat sure of in the past, such as the existence of Dinosaurs from fossil records, etc. we have pieced together much of what was, we know what is to a large extent, except for the provided misdirection and secrets due to military, Ally and National Security. We know how people think and what kinds of things they desire in the way of Maslow’s hierarchy of needs and the wants and desires of all human beings, through cultural, parental and societal nurturing and of course those items pre-imprinted in the DNA and organic life programming.

We know that innovation or invention is introduced when the desire for it or the necessity is there. For instance in a war, you have to win or you lose all, so the necessity to out innovate is key. If you need power, water, food, transportation again you will see innovation. If you can make money by entertaining people; you have the need for innovation and a way to use it to make money therefore increased funding to provide it. If there is a business, which needs to be more efficient you will find innovation. For instance; robotics in manufacturing to replace people, advancements in aerodynamics to move people, advancements in medicine to save people. Industry often propels innovations as do smart governments who can see where we are and where we want to be.

Thus if you study where we are, where we are headed you can often predict categories of needed improvements as well as severe pit falls. Thus predicting the future is relatively easy. Both short and long-term future can be predicted as long as your pre-conceived notions are reality based in your current period observations. If you look at the people advising the Presidents Administration you can see we are all in good hands and if you can see the methods to their madness as they advise such administrations you can see the brilliance of their sense of direction as they battle social norms, status quos and dying technologies. It is an art and a science to build for the future without over stepping boundaries of continuity. Incremental Change is best and without disrupting the natural flow of things. Too much disruptive technology is not good. The flow must be obtain to continue to serve free men otherwise you end up turning on the “Lunch Light” for those we are trying to serve. The onward movement of man, requires careful planning as if a three-dimensional chess board;


We must continue to study the flows and the future, which is much easier than you might think. There are so many factors, such as trade, population migration, population growth, Industry sector rotations, cycles of weather, trading partners, wars, voting trends, infrastructure depreciation, crime, capital flow, stock markets, national security, politics, religious undertones, law, taxation, energy, natural resources, environment, health, language, education, transportation, communication, distribution and currency, just to name a few, which must be studied and must fit together. This is why you need experts and well-rounded individuals with multi-disciplines of as many and more items listed and with such a team of dedicated thinkers all with the common goal the tasks are not really that daunting although to many may appear to be un-doable.

Although since you will be creating the future it may not be as important to know the future, but if you are going where mankind looks to be headed and for the right reasons and you are ready to mitigate the negatives by recognizing them and working to use those potential weaknesses as strengths then you will be able to get to where you are going. Now as far as the past is concerned, it has occurred previously and as we are in a linear time trap in that we cannot fix those issues or even be sure exactly what had happened, we should form a realistic and probable estimation of the past and study the trends, flows, cycles, grids, programs, of the present and most recent past of which we can verify and move to steer the great ship of mankind on the destiny to the future. Just a thought; any comments on any of the subjects mentioned, any other perspectives or points of view, please share them with us.